William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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HILLARY GETTING TRUMPED – AT 9:33 A.M. ET:  Donald Trump is creeping up on Hillary Clinton in the national polls.  These are early polls, of course, but Hillary should be worried.  After 24 years as a national figure, people know her.  Her upside potential is thin.  From The Hill:

Presumptive GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump trails Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton by 2 points in the latest NBC News/Survey Monkey weekly tracking poll.

Trump, who gained 2 points in the last week, now trails Clinton, 47 to 45 percent, in the poll, released Tuesday morning.

Clinton’s results are unchanged since last week.

The online poll of 12, 969 registered voters, conducted between May 23 and May 29, has a 1.2 percent margin of error.

Clinton leads the billionaire by 1 point in the RealClearPolitics index of national polls.

COMMENT:  We look for trends at this stage of the campaign, not precise numbers.  Trump keeps on gaining.  And this poll was among registered voters.  Polls among likely voters almost always show a higher GOP number.

I can't deny that Trump is doing very well.  A major question is whether he will blunder and throw it all away.   Another major question is whether Obama will pull out all stops and go on a national tour to defeat him, trying to pull together the Obama coalition.  And still a third question is whether the inevitable mainstream media campaign for Hillary and against Trump will have its impact. 

The excitement is just starting.

May 31,  2016